Violent crime down in Cincinnati

The Cincinnati Post is reporting that although (mostly gang-related) homicides continue to plague the city, violent crime is down so far this year compared to 2004.

From the story:

    Violent crimes - murder, rape, robbery, felonious assault and burglary - are down 12 percent from the first three months of last year, according to police statistics released Monday for the first quarter of the year. Robberies decreased the most, by nearly 18 percent.

    "These numbers show marked improvements in crime reduction in Cincinnati," said Cincinnati Police Chief Thomas Streicher Jr. "We are encouraged by the results of the first three months of 2005."

Recent stories marking the anniversary held in common a repeated note that there was no evidence crime had fallen in 2004, suggesting that one of the key reasons concealed carry reformers gave for wanting the law was not accurate.

However, none of these news reports bothered to note the following:

  • Applications started being taken on April 8, 2004, with one of the most populous counties not starting to take them until a month later.
  • Only a handful of CHL-holders were on the streets before mid- to late- May 2004.
  • Only preliminary numbers are available from the FBI on 2004 crime rates, and none for the active months of this law! The final report will not be available until later this year.
  • A true measure of the current law's effect on crime over a year's time simply cannot yet be taken.
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